Data: Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (mcc-berlin.net)
Are we thinking about the emission of greenhouse gasses such as methane and carbon when we do day to day activities like: driving a car, using energy to cook or heating our houses? Probably not. But by doing this we are making our small but constant contribution to the problem of Global Warming. We see from worsening weather disasters around the world that this returns as a boomerang back to our houses and families.
of all natural disasters were related to climate change
USA share of global world cumulative CO₂ emission
people can be pushed into poverty by 2030 because of climate change impact
Statistics Source: https://ourworldindata.org/co2/country/united-states?country=~USA
Statistics Source: Executive Summary - Climate Science Special Report
The overall trend in global average temperature indicates that warming is occurring in an increasing number of regions. Future Earth warming depends on our greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades.
At present, approximately 11 billion metric tons of carbon are released into the atmosphere each year. As a result, the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is on the rise every year, as it surpasses the natural capacity for removal.
warmest years on historical record have occurred since 2010
is the total increase in the Earth's temperature since 1880
warming rate since 1981
Observations from both satellites and the Earth’s surface are indisputable — the planet has warmed rapidly over the past 44 years. As far back as 1850, data from weather stations all over the globe make clear the Earth’s average temperature has been rising.
In recent days, as the Earth has reached its highest average temperatures in recorded history, warmer than any time in the last 125,000 years. Paleoclimatologists, who study the Earth’s climate history, are confident that the current decade is warmer than any period since before the last ice age, about 125,000 years ago.
Clean hydrogen has 3 main uses: energy storage, load balancing, and as feedstock/fuel. Used in all sectors, including steel, chemical, oil refining & heavy transport. Actions to accelerate decarbonization & increase clean hydrogen use include:
Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and achieving carbon neutrality requires widespread renewable energy and a huge increase in vehicles, products, and processes powered by electricity.
Electricity generated from increasingly renewable energy sources is the right way to create a clean energy system. Switching from direct use of fossil fuels to electricity improves air quality by reducing emissions of local pollutants.In order to increase the use of electricity, we can do the following:
As the foremost element in the periodic table, hydrogen holds a unique position in the universe, given its status as the lightest and one of the most ancient and abundant chemical elements.
Hydrogen, in its pure form, needs to be extracted since it is usually present in more intricate molecules, such as water or hydrocarbons, on Earth.
Hydrogen powers stars through nuclear fusion. This creates energy and all the other chemicals elements which are found on Earth.

Hydrogen is an essential part for manufacturing Ammoniam Nitrate fertilizers. Half of the world's food is grown using hydrogen-based ammonia fertilizer.
Hydrogen is used in the production of methanol, where hydrogen is reacted with carbon monoxide to produce chemical feedstocks.
Hydrogen fuel cells make electricity from combining hydrogen and oxygen. Power plants are showing increased interest in using hydrogen, and gas turbines can convert from natural gas to hydrogen combustion.

Hydrogen is an alternative vehicle fuel. It allows us to power fuel cells in zero-emission electric drive vehicles.
Hydrogen heat is used in order to reduce emissions in the manufacturing process.
Steelmaking is an industry that is beginning to successfully use hydrogen in two ways to eliminate almost all greenhouse emissions from the steelmaking process. First for Direct Reduced Iron (DRI) replacing coke (from coal) with hydrogen to remove oxygen from iron ore. Second for heat to melt the iron ore into DRI and then into low carbon steel.
Liquid hydrogen has been used by NASA as a rocket fuel since the 1950s.
Hydrogen is used in production of explosives, fertilizers, and other chemicals; to convert heavier hydrocarbons to lightweight hydrocarbons to produce many value-added chemicals; to hydrogenate organic compounds; and to remove impurities like sulfur, halides, oxygen, metals, and/or nitrogen. It's also in household cleaners like ammonium hydroxide.

Hydrogen is used to make vitamins and other pharmaceutical products.
In the production of float glass, hydrogen is needed to provide heat and to prevent the large tin bath from oxidizing.
It is used to hydrogenate unsaturated fatty acids in animal and vegetable oils, to obtain solid fats for margarine and other food products.
Using clean hydrogen makes it possible to reduce emissions while "cracking" heavier petroleum into lightweight hydrocarbons to produce many value-added chemicals.
By 2030
Statistics Source: IEA Global Hydrogen Review 2022
SMR is a way of producing syngas (Hydrogen and Carbon monoxide) by mixing hydrocarbons (like natural gas) with water. This mixture goes into a special container called a reformer vessel where a high-pressure mixture of steam and methane comes into contact with a nickel catalyst. As a result of the reaction, hydrogen and carbon monoxide are produced.
To make more hydrogen, carbon monoxide from the first reaction is mixed with water through the WGS reaction. As a result, we receive more hydrogen and a gas called carbon dioxide. For each unit of hydrogen produced there are 6 units of carbon dioxide produced and in almost all cases released into the atmosphere. Carbon dioxide is a harmful gas causing climate change.
$863 ($0.86 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity = $474 + Methane $383 + Water $6 US EIA May 2024*)
The SMR method involves combining natural gas with high-temperature steam and a catalyst to generate a blend of hydrogen and carbon monoxide. Then, more water is added to the mixture to make more hydrogen and a gas called carbon dioxide.
For each unit of hydrogen produced there are 6 units of carbon dioxide produced. In a few experimental trials, to help the environment, the carbon dioxide is captured and stored underground using a special technology called CCUS (Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage). This leaves almost pure hydrogen.
One of the main problems with carbon capture and storage is that without careful management of storage, the CO2 can flow from these underground reservoirs into the surrounding air and contribute to climate change, or spoil the nearby water supply. Another is the risk of creating earthquake tremors caused by the storage increasing underground pressure, known as human caused seismicity.
$1,253 ($1.25 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity $474 + Methane $505 + Water $4 US + CCS $270 EIA May 2024*)
This technology based on natural gas emits no greenhouse gases as it does not produce CO2. Methane Pyrolysis refers to a method of generating hydrogen by breaking down methane into its basic components, namely hydrogen and solid carbon.
Oxygen is not involved at all within this process (no CO or CO2 is produced). Thus, for the production of hydrogen gas there is no need for an additional of CO or for CO2 separation.
$1,199 ($1.20 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity $433 +Methane $766 EIA May 2024*)
The concept of Green Hydrogen involves generating hydrogen from renewable energy sources by means of electrolysis, a process that splits water into its fundamental constituents, hydrogen and oxygen, using an electric current. This process can be powered by a range of renewable energy sources, such as solar energy, wind power, and hydropower.
The electricity used in the electrolysis process is derived exclusively from renewable sources, ensuring a sustainable and environmentally-friendly production of hydrogen. It generates zero carbon dioxide emissions and, as a result, prevents global warming.
$3,289 ($3.29 per kilogram of Hydrogen)
(Electricity $3,278 + water $11 US EIA May 2024*)
Known as "White" hydrogen, it can be generated through various geological processes. The study of geologic hydrogen and its potential as an energy resource is an active area of research, as it holds promise for renewable energy applications, particularly in the context of hydrogen fuel cells and clean energy production.
It's important to note that the creation of geologic hydrogen is generally a slow and long-term process, occurring over geological timescales. This is because the other methods are human production technology methods and this is creation by a natural phenomena. The availability and abundance of geologic hydrogen can vary significantly depending on the specific geological setting and the interplay of various factors such as rock composition, temperature, pressure, and the presence of suitable reactants.
Serpentinization is a chemical reaction that occurs when water interacts with certain types of rocks, particularly ultramafic rocks rich in minerals such as olivine and pyroxene. This process results in the formation of serpentine minerals and produces hydrogen gas as a byproduct. Serpentinization typically takes place in environments such as hydrothermal systems, oceanic crust, and certain tectonic settings.
In regions with high concentrations of radioactive elements, such as uranium and thorium, the decay of these elements releases radiation. This radiation can interact with surrounding water or other fluids, splitting the water molecules and generating hydrogen gas through a process called radiolysis. This mechanism is believed to contribute to the production of hydrogen in certain deep geological settings, such as deep groundwater systems and radioactive mineral deposits.
Geothermal systems, which involve the circulation of hot water or steam through fractured rocks, can generate hydrogen gas as a result of various processes. High-temperature hydrothermal systems can cause the thermal decomposition of hydrocarbons, releasing hydrogen gas. Additionally, the interaction between water and hot rocks in geothermal reservoirs can lead to the production of hydrogen through serpentinization or other geochemical reactions.
Abiotic methane refers to methane gas that is not directly derived from biological sources, such as microbial activity. In certain geological environments, abiotic methane can be generated through processes like thermal decomposition of organic matter or reactions between carbon dioxide and hydrogen. This methane can subsequently undergo thermal or catalytic cracking, producing hydrogen gas.
Keep current hydrogen production methods BUT
make additional steps to broaden them with cleaner production methods
And as a result the world will get more vital hydrogen and become one step closer to net zero emission
The market is dominated by grey hydrogen produced from natural gas through a fossil fuel-powered SMR process. Every year, the production of grey hydrogen amounts to approximately 70 to 80 million tons, and it is primarily used in industrial chemistry. More than 80% is used for the synthesis of ammonia and its derivatives (fertilizer for agriculture, 50 perecent of food worldwide) or for oil refining operations. Unfortunately, for every 1 kg of grey hydrogen, almost 6-8 kg of carbon dioxide is emitted into the atmosphere.
More than 95% of the world's hydrogen production is based on fossil fuels with greenhouse gas emissions. Nevertheless, to achieve a more stable future and promote the transition of pure energy, the global goal is to reduce the use of other “colors” of hydrogen and focus on the production of a clean product, such as green or turquoise hydrogen. Reaching the zero carbon footprint will require a gradual transition from grey to green/turquoise hydrogen in the coming years.
It is possible to produce decarbonized hydrogen. An option is to use another feedstock, namely water, and convert it in large electrolyzers into H2 and oxygen (O2), which are returned to the atmosphere. If the electricity used to power the electrolyzers is 100% renewable energy (photovoltaic panels, wind turbines, etc.), then hydrogen becomes green. Currently, it is about 0.1% of the total production of hydrogen, but it is expected that it will increase since the cost of renewable energy continues to fall.
U.S. additions to electric generation capacity from 2000 to 2025. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reports that the United States
is building power plants at a record pace. As indicated on the chart, nearly all new electric generating capacity either already installed or planned
for 2025 is from clean energy sources, while new power plants coming
on line 25 years ago, in 2000, were predominantly fueled by natural gas. New wind power plants began to come on line in 2001 and new solar plants, 10 years, later in 2011. Since 2023, the U.S. power industry has built more solar than any other type of power plant. The EIA predicts that clean energy (wind, solar, and battery storage) will deliver 93% of new power-plant capacity in 2025.
Global surface air temperature departures between 1940 and 2024 from the average temperature for the period 1991-2020 (averages below the 11-year average are blue and those above are red). The average in October 2024 was +0.80 degrees Celsius above the reference period average, down from +0.85 degrees Celsius above the reference period average in 2023, which was the warmest October on record.
The tech giant intends to buy certificates from Stegra’s hydrogen-fueled steel mill to support the scale-up of cleaner construction materials for data centers.
Google is backing the buildout of a novel green-steel mill in Sweden as the tech giant grapples with rising greenhouse gas emissions from its AI expansion.
On Thursday, the company said it is partnering with Stegra to help bring the Swedish firm’s flagship facility online. Unlike traditional coal-fueled mills, Stegra’s project will use green hydrogen — made from renewable electricity and water — to produce what it calls “near-zero emission” steel.

The agreement helps address some of the thorny challenges facing green steel companies and data center developers.
Metal-makers need wealthy, early customers like Google to help stoke investor interest in their novel manufacturing plants. Meanwhile, tech companies need cleaner construction materials to curb their growing environmental impact. Google recently reported an 18% rise in its annual emissions from 2024 to 2025, owing to its increased use of steel, concrete, computing hardware, and other materials for data centers.
The Alphabet subsidiary is not slated to buy any metal from Stegra’s multibillion-dollar plant, which is under construction in Boden, just south of the Arctic Circle.
Instead, Google will procure “environmental attribute certificates,” which allow the company to count emissions reductions associated with a ton of Stegra’s steel toward Google’s own sustainability targets. In exchange, Google helps defray the extra costs involved with hydrogen-based steelmaking. Stegra then sells its metal into the European market as a standard product — without labeling it as lower-carbon steel.
“By supporting early-stage technologies like Stegra’s green steel, we are helping to create a market for materials that are essential to reducing emissions,” a spokesperson for Google said by email.
Thursday’s agreement is the second of its kind for Stockholm-based Stegra, formerly H2 Green Steel. Last year, the firm struck a two-part deal to sell the certificates to Microsoft and also physical steel to Microsoft’s equipment suppliers for European data centers. Neither Microsoft nor Google provided details about the financial value of their arrangements with Stegra.
The Swedish facility is one of a handful of projects advancing globally that aim to dramatically reduce emissions from iron and steel production, which accounts for roughly 9% of human-caused carbon dioxide emissions every year. The vast majority of that pollution comes from using coal in giant, dirty ironmaking furnaces.
Stegra says its operation will slash carbon emissions from steelmaking by up to 95%, compared with traditional methods. The facility taps the abundant hydropower and wind resources in northern Sweden to produce hydrogen gas — fuel that’s used to convert iron ore into iron. That iron is then transformed into steel using electric arc furnaces, also powered by renewables.
Under the new deal, Google will receive certificates from a portion — up to 91,000 metric tons — of the steel made in Stegra’s first year of production. It’s not clear exactly when operations will start. Stegra, which has weathered a series of financial woes over the last year, said its project timeline is still under review.
The facility is expected to produce 2.5 million metric tons of steel in its first phase, before ramping up to make 5 million metric tons at full tilt.
Google’s deal “contributes to generating increased cash flow to Stegra’s early years of operations and the ramp-up of production,” the company’s spokesperson said.

Environmental attribute certificates can play a crucial role in helping build out the world’s next generation of iron and steel facilities, experts say. Efforts to develop hydrogen-based steelmaking and other cutting-edge technologies have in recent years faced significant hurdles to scaling up, owing to their high costs and technical complexities — as well as the difficulty of competing with cheaper coal-based steel products.
The instruments are “a great mechanism to overcome different market barriers in industries where we need to see increased investment,” said Claire Dougherty, an industrial decarbonization program manager at RMI. The clean-energy think tank has spearheaded much of the industry’s emerging work around low-carbon iron and steel certificates.
“A hydrogen [steel] facility can cost billions of dollars, and that can be very difficult to get funding for, particularly without a guarantee that someone’s going to buy your decarbonized product at a premium,” she said. At the same time, the companies that are most willing to pay a premium — like data center developers — aren’t typically in the business of buying steel, or their operations aren’t close enough to green steel mills to justify sourcing the metal directly.
Certificates “can help to expand the demand pool and help those suppliers achieve bankable offtake,” Dougherty said.
Proponents are hoping to grow this model beyond pilot agreements like Google’s by creating a formal market, known as a “book and claim” system, for buying and selling iron and steel certificates.
Earlier this month, Stegra and the cleantech startups Electra and Charm Industrial, along with the nonprofit Roundtable on Sustainable Biomaterials, said they were working toward that goal by developing shared standards and metrics for how emissions reductions are counted, and for ensuring environmental claims are independently verified and traceable. The initiative builds on a comprehensive framework that RMI is set to unveil next week that lays out rules for operating a credible book-and-claim system.
“We view this as a really important next step, in terms of scaling the [certificate] market for low-carbon iron and steel producers,” said Maressa Brennan, Electra’s senior director of regulatory policy and markets.
Colorado-based Electra is developing a novel approach to ironmaking that avoids the need for a scorching furnace. Instead, the company produces iron with electrochemical devices, which are powered by renewables and can run at the same temperature as a fresh cup of coffee.
Last year, the startup announced a deal to provide environmental attribute certificates to Meta. Electra is set to start operations later this year at a demonstration plant in Jefferson County, Colorado, which will initially produce up to 500 metric tons of high-purity iron per year. The company is also assessing a few global sites for its first commercial facility, which could come online in the early 2030s, Brennan said.
“Our agreement with Meta was an early example to indicate that there’s a market interest in … these types of technologies,” she said. “The work we’re doing now is to more formally establish a marketplace that helps these approaches scale.”
A correction was made on Sept. 17, 2026: This article originally included a quote from a Google spokesperson that inaccurately represented how the company’s procurement will contribute to Stegra’s green steel project. This quote has been exchanged to clarify that the tech firm’s procurement will help boost Stegra’s cash flow in the project’s early years.
The governor has blocked efforts to harness distributed energy to rein in rising utility rates. Bills on his desk could reverse that trend — if he signs them.
I’m launching this newsletter at an intriguing moment in California politics. Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom — who everyone knows is eyeing a run for the White House — has one last chance to show his true colors on energy and climate change. Rising electricity costs are a major issue in California, and Newsom must decide by the end of this month whether to sign a host of bills that could help cut utility rates while also advancing the state’s clean energy transition. What message does he want to send to Californians and the rest of the country?
Earlier this week, I published an assessment of Newsom’s legacy on climate and clean energy so far. Long story short: While he can legitimately brag about some things, he hasn’t been willing to take on utility interests or to challenge the status quo. That’s especially apparent in how he’s sidelined virtual power plants, vetoing and defunding efforts to harness them to rein in skyrocketing electricity rates for customers of the state’s three major utilities.
But a few bills on his desk now could at least start the long slog of reforms that experts say will help make power more affordable.
Most notable is Senate Bill 905. This year’s big affordability reform package from state Sen. Josh Becker (D) would curb utilities’ profits on wildfire-prevention investments and other spending that reduces their risk exposure. It would also expand on provisions from Becker’s reform bill passed last year that require utilities to finance more grid costs through borrowing, which also helps contain the profits they get to collect from customers.
In addition, SB 905 would encourage utilities to measure how efficiently they’re using their existing grids — a precursor to setting up regulations that could steer them toward prioritizing lower-cost solutions over expensive grid upgrades.
One such solution is tapping into virtual power plants — the customer-owned batteries, EV chargers, smart thermostats, and other devices that can provide hundreds of megawatts of power to the grid. Becker’s SB 913 would create new pathways for VPPs to help lessen reliance on aging fossil-gas-fired peaker plants.
But California’s politically powerful investor-owned utilities have vigorously opposed policies that could reduce their regulated profits. That may be why the Newsom administration has largely taken an alternative tack to save money: slashing public services paid for through utility rates. For example, Newsom backed a 2024 bill that would have cut hundreds of millions of dollars in energy-efficiency and solar programs to instead give customers a small one-time rebate.
That bill didn’t pass, but the administration’s nickel-and-diming approach has continued. In final budget negotiations this year, it successfully pushed to claw back nearly $200 million for a program that helps schools retrofit air conditioning, ventilation, and plumbing. The money will now go back to utilities, which could use it to shave pennies off their customers’ bills — or just pocket it, as pointed out by Leah Stokes, a professor of environmental politics at the University of California, Santa Barbara. As Stokes said in a last-minute social media appeal to Newsom, “Do you really want your legacy to be taking money away from schoolkids during heat waves?”
Let’s not forget that Newsom has had to manage a number of crises beyond his control, from the bankruptcy of Pacific Gas & Electric in 2019 to rolling blackouts in 2020 and 2022 to the current threat of refineries pulling out of the state. His final months in office may well be consumed in negotiating with lawmakers over how to deal with yet another looming utility wildfire-liability crisis. But these emergencies don’t absolve him from taking bold action in the areas where he does have control — like requiring utilities to enlist the state’s nation-leading fleet of distributed solar, batteries, and electric vehicles as cost-cutting tools. He’s got one last opportunity to do that. Let’s hope he takes it.
Meanwhile, I’m tracking a few other climate bills awaiting Newsom’s signature or veto:
Speaking of pipelines and stranded assets: Environmental groups are suing to stop the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power from converting its Scattergood fossil-gas power plant to also burn hydrogen, saying the municipal utility has failed to consider the air pollution harms that project could cause. But also, where’s it supposed to get the hydrogen? State regulators have rejected SoCalGas’s Angeles Link project, a pie-in-the-sky plan to pipe hydrogen made from solar in the desert to the LA Basin. And the Trump administration has pulled the plug on California’s clean hydrogen hub. If you don’t have hydrogen, you don’t have a hydrogen-burning power plant — no matter how well it might fit into some hypothetical decarbonization roadmap.
As a new report from a who’s who of California energy experts makes clear, there’s no silver bullet to solving an affordability crisis that has been decades in the making and has pulled California’s energy costs so far out of whack with the U.S. average.
Take a look at how the rates charged by California’s big three investor-owned utilities, already higher than the national average since the late 1970s, have really taken off in recent years. (The main cause of this latest spike is wildfire risk, of course — but that’s a problem from hell that’s better dealt with at book length.)
California and U.S. average real electricity rates and California-U.S. differences, 1970–2024
Speaking of pipelines and stranded assets: Environmental groups are suing to stop the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power from converting its Scattergood fossil-gas power plant to also burn hydrogen, saying the municipal utility has failed to consider the air pollution harms that project could cause. But also, where’s it supposed to get the hydrogen? State regulators have rejected SoCalGas’s Angeles Link project, a pie-in-the-sky plan to pipe hydrogen made from solar in the desert to the LA Basin. And the Trump administration has pulled the plug on California’s clean hydrogen hub. If you don’t have hydrogen, you don’t have a hydrogen-burning power plant — no matter how well it might fit into some hypothetical decarbonization roadmap.
As a new report from a who’s who of California energy experts makes clear, there’s no silver bullet to solving an affordability crisis that has been decades in the making and has pulled California’s energy costs so far out of whack with the U.S. average.
Take a look at how the rates charged by California’s big three investor-owned utilities, already higher than the national average since the late 1970s, have really taken off in recent years. (The main cause of this latest spike is wildfire risk, of course — but that’s a problem from hell that’s better dealt with at book length.)
California and U.S. average real electricity rates and California-U.S. differences, 1970–2024

It’s not all doom and gloom around here! My wife and I — and of course our constant companion, Lily the corgi — had a lovely Labor Day weekend up in the Sierra foothills. Check out this sunset! (I couldn’t help taking a photo with power lines in the background ;-)

State-funded hubs will focus on skills that can transfer to other sectors, like data centers. That may help workers as Trump policies threaten to upend job markets.
Illinois has spent the last few years training hundreds of people for clean energy jobs. Now, it’s upgrading its keystone program to better respond to new workforce realities.
In 2023, Illinois rolled out about a dozen state-funded hubs that paid individuals to learn basic job-hunting skills and clean energy trades, with priority given to those from marginalized communities or areas impacted by fossil-fuel pollution or fossil-fuel job losses.
The initiative prepared participants for a range of roles, from manufacturing EV components to auditing buildings for energy efficiency. An especially heavy focus was put on training solar installers as state and federal incentives bolstered Illinois’ rapidly growing solar industry.
State law requires updates to the curriculum every three years, and in August, Illinois unveiled a new version that stakeholders hope will be more responsive to shifting economic and political winds. The idea is to ensure that the training for clean energy jobs can be easily transferred to other sectors, such as housing development and the data center industry.
Advocates and experts involved with the curriculum revamp say it comes at an opportune time, as the Trump administration’s anti-renewable energy policies threaten to impact job markets.
“Workers who are interested in working with clean energy and learning about these new technologies … don’t need to limit themselves to only working in clean energy,” said Peter Fugiel, senior research specialist at the University of Illinois’ Climate Jobs Institute, which was created by state law to study the economic and workforce impacts of clean energy programs. “Learning a broader trade or set of technologies might give them more opportunities to work and apply their skills even when there are policy shifts.”
The new curriculum is largely informed by research from Fugiel and his colleagues that is cataloged in a clean jobs inventory released in August. That report urged the state to consider adopting a “career cluster” approach that trains workers in broader subject areas, rather than focusing on individual occupations, like solar installation, as the previous curriculum did.
The state took that advice, and the new framework offers five career clusters for students to choose from: construction; manufacturing; utilities; professional services; and installation, maintenance, and repair. It also puts a heavier emphasis on apprenticeships and developing “transferable competencies,” like understanding logistics and supply chains in manufacturing.
For example, the construction cluster could prepare workers not only to build wind or solar farms, Fugiel explained, but also to construct data centers, install geothermal heating and cooling systems, and build new schools.
The new curriculum is “more generalized, less specialized, so it can be more resilient when big swings happen in the market,” said Mary Kuhn, policy program specialist for the Chicago Jobs Council, a nonprofit that supports workforce development programs in the state.
Trump administration policies could drive such swings. Take Illinois’ solar sector, for example. It has seen rapid and steady employment growth since 2020, according to federal data cited in the clean jobs inventory.
While some of that growth is due to robust state support for solar, it is also thanks to federal clean energy tax credits created by the Biden administration. But last year, the Trump administration and Republicans in Congress abruptly tightened deadlines for those incentives, while tariffs and stringent rules around foreign supply chains are also expected to drive up the price of solar.
Although solar job postings in Illinois remained strong in 2025, according to the inventory’s analysis of data from global analytics firm Lightcast, those changes could eventually dampen construction and thus employment opportunities in the state.

Regarding clean energy jobs more broadly, “it’s hard to say what will happen within the next few years as markets hopefully stabilize,” said Linda Larsen, who is associate director of research for the Climate Jobs Institute and collaborated on Illinois’ new curriculum. “I would expect to see more vulnerability in sectors that really rely on federal subsidies,” such as electric vehicles.
The clean jobs inventory found that occupations “with the brightest outlook” in Illinois in coming years include construction laborers, power line installers, electricians, and heating, ventilation and air conditioning technicians.
Such jobs will likely grow in part because of data center construction and the expansion of building electrification and energy efficiency, the Climate Jobs Institute researchers said in interviews. Kuhn noted the state’s mandates for utilities to invest in getting buildings off fossil fuels and helping them use less energy. Meanwhile, spiking power prices and energy demand from data centers may further encourage utilities and residents to invest in efficiency, since it can lower energy bills and reduce strain on the grid.
Larsen said that the energy storage sector may ramp up hiring in years to come as well, given the state passed a law last fall that creates incentives for the technology. Batteries have also been mostly spared from the Trump administration’s crusade against clean energy, though they could be affected by supply chain rules and tariffs.
Fugiel is hopeful Illinois’ new approach will set workers up for success regardless of which opportunities end up being most abundant.
“I think of it like a garden. A good gardener wouldn’t want to plant just one type of crop,” he said. “We can have our fast-growing annual crops such as solar — or in the past, wind — and also these larger more established sectors that are like the hardy perennials that every year create thousands of jobs, like energy efficiency, the manufacturing of components, HVAC installation.”